Is Reality Real? The Simulation Argument Ist die Wirklichkeit real? Das Argument der Simulation ¿Es real la realidad? El argumento de la simulación 現実はリアルか？シミュレーションの議論 Is de werkelijkheid echt? Het simulatieargument A realidade é real? O Argumento da Simulação Реальна ли реальность? Аргумент о симуляции Gerçeklik Gerçek mi? Simülasyon Tartışması Чи існує реальність? Аргумент симуляції 现实是真实的吗？模拟论证

We humans are unable to experience the true nature of the universe, unfiltered. Our senses and brains can only process a fraction of the world.

So we have to use concepts and tools, to learn about the true nature of reality

Technological progress not only widened our knowledge about the universe,

it also made us aware of unsettling possibilities. aynı zamanda tedirgin edici olasılıkların da farkına varmamızı sağladı.

In the future, it might become possible to simulate entire universes. Gelecekte, tüm evrenleri simüle etmek mümkün hale gelebilir.

But if this is an option, how can we know that it's not already happened?

What if we are not creators, but creations? Ya biz yaratıcı değil de yaratılanlarsak?

Is it possible that we are not real, and we don't even know it?

If our current understanding of physics is correct, Eğer şu anki fizik anlayışımız doğruysa,

Then, it's impossible to simulate the whole universe, with its trillions and trillions of things.

But we don't actually need to, anyway. Ama aslında buna ihtiyacımız yok.

We only need enough universe to fool the inhabitants of our simulation, Sadece simülasyonumuzun sakinlerini kandırmaya yetecek kadar evrene ihtiyacımız var,

into thinking that they're real.

Who needs billions of galaxies?

We only need the space our subjects are allowed to explore. Sadece deneklerimizin keşfetmesine izin verilen alana ihtiyacımız var.

The vast universe could just be a flat projection, and they would have no way to know. Uçsuz bucaksız evren düz bir projeksiyon olabilir ve bunu bilmeleri mümkün değildir.

What about small things like cells or bacteria?

We don't really need them.

When you use a microscope, what you see could be instantly created. Bir mikroskop kullandığınızda, gördüğünüz şey anında yaratılabilir.

Same with atoms the chair you're sitting on right now does not need to be Aynı şekilde şu anda oturduğunuz sandalyenin de atomik olması gerekmez.

simulated with quadrillions of atoms. gesimuleerd met biljoenen atomen. katrilyonlarca atomla simüle edildi.

We just need the outermost layer of it, Sadece en dış katmanına ihtiyacımız var,

it might be empty inside, until you decide to break it open.

Your body might feel like it's filled with bubbly things, but it might be empty, until you open it.

The minimum requirement for our simulation, is only the consciousness of our virtual humans. Simülasyonumuz için asgari gereksinim, sadece sanal insanlarımızın bilincidir.

Our subjects just need to think the simulation is real.

Okay, so are we being simulated?

Well, maybe, but there are a few conditions that need to be met. Belki, ama karşılanması gereken birkaç koşul var.

Obviously, we have no authority over this topic, so please take everything we say with a grain of salt.

Based on a modified version of the original simulation argument by Nick Bostrom,

we have five assumptions for you. we hebben vijf aannames voor u.

If they're true, you dear viewer are living in a simulation.

Assumption one,

it's possible to simulate consciousness

Nobody knows what consciousness is.

For the sake of argument, let's assume that you could generate consciousness by simulating a brain.

Brains are pretty complex.

If you count every interaction between synapses as one operation, Si cuentas cada interacción entre sinapsis como una operación,

your brain runs at about ten to the power of seventeen, for one hundred million billion operations, per second. tu cerebro funciona a una velocidad de diez a la potencia de diecisiete, es decir, cien millones de billones de operaciones por segundo.

Let's generously assume we need ten to the power of twenty operations, Supongamos generosamente que necesitamos operaciones de diez a la potencia de veinte,

to simulate one second of human consciousness. para simular un segundo de conciencia humana.

But, we don't want to simulate just one human... Pero, no queremos simular sólo un humano...

We want to simulate all of human history at once, so we can skip around. Queremos simular toda la historia de la humanidad a la vez, para poder saltar de un lado a otro.

Let's say we want to simulate two hundred billion humans, with an average life span of fifty years.

One year has thirty million seconds times fifty years Un año tiene treinta millones de segundos por cincuenta años

times two hundred billion humans por doscientos mil millones de humanos

times ten to the power of twenty operations. veces diez a la potencia de veinte operaciones.

So we need a computer able to handle million, trillion, trillion, trillion operations per second. Así que necesitamos un ordenador capaz de realizar millones, billones, trillones, trillones de operaciones por segundo.

More operations than there are stars in the observable universe. Más operaciones que estrellas hay en el universo observable.

The computer like this is just impossible. El ordenador así es imposible.

Except, maybe it isn't. Excepto que tal vez no lo sea.

Assumption two,

technological progress will not stop anytime soon. el progreso tecnológico no se detendrá pronto.

If we assume that technological progress continues in a similar fashion as it has so far, Si suponemos que el progreso tecnológico continúa de forma similar a como lo ha hecho hasta ahora,

then there might be galaxy spanning civilizations, with unlimited computer power at some point. entonces podría haber civilizaciones que abarcaran galaxias, con una potencia informática ilimitada en algún momento.

Beings on a technology level so advanced, that we could barely distinguish them from god's. Seres de un nivel tecnológico tan avanzado, que apenas podríamos distinguirlos de los dioses.

A computer that can handle a million trillion, trillion, trillion operations is serious business,

but there are actually concepts for computers, which could handle this.

The Matrioshka Brain, is the theoretical megastructure, De Matrioshka Brain, is de theoretische megastructuur,

made up of billions of parts orbiting a star, feeding on its radiation.

A computer of this scale, would have enough power to simulate many thousands,

if not millions of humanities, at the same time. zo niet miljoenen geesteswetenschappen, tegelijkertijd.

Other technologies, like high-end future quantum computers might lower the size drastically,

so it might be possible to do this with a structure the size of a large city, or even smaller.

But, only if there's still someone around to build the computer.

Assumption three,

advanced civilizations don't destroy themselves.

If there is a point at which all civilizations destroyed themselves, this whole discussion ends here.

Looking into space, you'd expect to universe filled, with millions of alien civilizations,

but we see nobody.

the reason for this might be, Great Filters.

Great Filters are barriers life has to overcome, like nuclear war,

asteroids, climate change or a black hole generator.

If life is inherently self-destructive, then there are no simulations.

We explain this in more detail, in our Fermi Paradox video. Assumption four,

super advanced civilizations, want to run simulations.

When we speak of posthuman civilizations, we don't know what we're dealing with Als we het hebben over posthumane beschavingen, weten we niet waar we mee te maken hebben

To think we know what beings as powerful as gods want, is pretty arrogant.

Imagine the smartest ant on earth living next to an amusement park,

It's curious about what humans are up to, so you try to explain. Unfortunately, the ant just doesn't understand.

The concept of rollercoasters and standing in lines and holidays and fun,

doesn't make sense to an ant living an ant life.

It's the same with us and a posthuman being,

compared to them, we are ants.

Running simulations for fun or science, might be an absurdly stupid idea to them.

But, if they do want to run simulations for whatever reasons and assumptions one, two, three are true too,

then the chances are not zero that you are living inside a simulation.

Assumption five,

if there are a lot of simulations, you are probably inside a simulation.

if there are simulated civilizations, It's likely that there are a lot of them.

After all, we assume that post human beings have access to practically unlimited computing power.

So if they run simulations, it would be convenient to run millions or even billions of them.

If there are billions of simulated universes, there are probably trillions and trillions of

simulated conscious beings.

which would mean that the vast majority of all conscious beings that will ever have existed,

are simulated.

So, for every conscious being made of flesh, a billion simulated ones exists.

Since we have no way of knowing if we are simulated or not,

in this case, the chances of you being one of the nine hundred and ninety nine million

nine hundred and ninety nine thousand nine hundred ninety nine simulated ones, are pretty high.

So, what you consider reality, might not be real at all

You really might be...

simulated.

All of this is based on a lot of assumptions that we can't really test right now

So many scientists disagree with this whole thought experiment.

So don't burn your house down to test if there will be glitches. If you are simulated, not that much changes for you

you might be on a small planet speeding through eternal nothingness,

or a simulation inside a computer.

your existence does not become more or less scary and bizarre.

All we can hope to do is try to live good lives, and have a good time.

And hope that if we actually are simulations in a supercomputer,

nobody trips over the power cable.

Oh, oh, oh no, I think I just unplugged the simulation Oh, oh, oh nee, ik denk dat ik de simulatie zojuist heb losgekoppeld

But what if that doesn't matter, what if we are in one right now? What if you are simulated?

Jake, over at Vsauce3 is looking into that. Jake, de Vsauce3 está investigando eso.

Click here to watch his video and subscribe to his channel.

Why are you still here? go over to Vsauce3 watch the video and subscribe,

we promise, it's worth your time...