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No Exit Strategy for Your Life's Work, Making Bets and Getting Lucky

Making Bets and Getting Lucky

At a high level our goal with Evernote is to be 100% buzzword compliant. So whenever the important new buzzwords come around, whether it's social or tablet or at some point it'll be olfactory, that's going to be a big thing, we'll be like, yes, we are there. At a higher level, we got extreme - somebody actually asked me recently in an interview like, how did you guys predict the success of smartphones and tablets, because in 2007 actually it wasn't - it wasn't successful. How did you guys predict it? And I said, well, we didn't predict it, we bet on it. We made a fairly foolish gamble. It's like how did you guys predict that it would come out 35 black if it did. Well, we didn't. We just bet on it. And we got lucky. We bet right. We bet right that smartphones were going to be huge. We didn't even know about app stores. We just got really lucky on that. We bet right on tablets. As soon as we heard about the iPad we were like yeah we're on that - I think my official quote I got contacted at that point I think by, I forget which magazine, they wanted quotes from CEOs about whether or not you're thinking of supporting the new iPad, the new Apple tablet. This was like when Apple first announced it but it was a few months before they launched it and they ran this article with quotes from other CEOs and the quotes were all like very nuanced, there was like a paragraph or two about well we think this and this and it will be exciting to see this. And my quote was, I was quoted in print saying, "Yeah, we're going to support the hell out of it." In fact, like the day that they - Apple announced it, obviously couldn't get them ahead of time or anything but they published the physical dimensions and so we had cardboard. We cut out cardboard into the perfect physical dimensions of an iPad and we like, we carried around these like cardboard iPads and that's how we built the whole interaction design, like we put them in and out of our bags, we carried them. We like Photoshopped pieces of paper with like where new elements could go and we stuck it on there and we tried to figure out well do my thumbs go here or do they go there and like we just - we bet on this being huge and it paid out. In fact, I didn't see Evernote running on the iPad until I stood in line with everyone else and got the first iPad and saw how it actually runs pretty well on it, better than it did on cardboard, although the cardboard was lighter and it had better battery life.


Making Bets and Getting Lucky المراهنات والحصول على الحظ Wetten und Glück haben Apostar y tener suerte Fare scommesse e avere fortuna 賭けと幸運を手に入れる Fazer apostas e ter sorte Bahis Yapmak ve Şanslı Olmak 下注与幸运 下注並獲得幸運

At a high level our goal with Evernote is to be 100% buzzword compliant. على مستوى عالٍ ، هدفنا مع Evernote هو التوافق مع الكلمات الطنانة بنسبة 100٪. So whenever the important new buzzwords come around, whether it's social or tablet or at some point it'll be olfactory, that's going to be a big thing, we'll be like, yes, we are there. لذلك كلما ظهرت الكلمات الطنانة الجديدة المهمة ، سواء كانت اجتماعية أو كمبيوتر لوحي أو في مرحلة ما ستكون عطرية ، سيكون هذا شيئًا كبيرًا ، سنكون مثل ، نعم ، نحن هناك. At a higher level, we got extreme - somebody actually asked me recently in an interview like, how did you guys predict the success of smartphones and tablets, because in 2007 actually it wasn't - it wasn't successful. How did you guys predict it? And I said, well, we didn't predict it, we bet on it. We made a fairly foolish gamble. لقد قمنا بمغامرة حمقاء إلى حد ما. It's like how did you guys predict that it would come out 35 black if it did. Well, we didn't. We just bet on it. And we got lucky. We bet right. We bet right that smartphones were going to be huge. We didn't even know about app stores. We just got really lucky on that. We bet right on tablets. As soon as we heard about the iPad we were like yeah we're on that - I think my official quote I got contacted at that point I think by, I forget which magazine, they wanted quotes from CEOs about whether or not you're thinking of supporting the new iPad, the new Apple tablet. This was like when Apple first announced it but it was a few months before they launched it and they ran this article with quotes from other CEOs and the quotes were all like very nuanced, there was like a paragraph or two about well we think this and this and it will be exciting to see this. And my quote was, I was quoted in print saying, "Yeah, we're going to support the hell out of it." In fact, like the day that they - Apple announced it, obviously couldn't get them ahead of time or anything but they published the physical dimensions and so we had cardboard. We cut out cardboard into the perfect physical dimensions of an iPad and we like, we carried around these like cardboard iPads and that's how we built the whole interaction design, like we put them in and out of our bags, we carried them. We like Photoshopped pieces of paper with like where new elements could go and we stuck it on there and we tried to figure out well do my thumbs go here or do they go there and like we just - we bet on this being huge and it paid out. In fact, I didn't see Evernote running on the iPad until I stood in line with everyone else and got the first iPad and saw how it actually runs pretty well on it, better than it did on cardboard, although the cardboard was lighter and it had better battery life.