Kan hockeystaven redde klimaet? can|the hockey stick|save|the climate 하키 스틱이 기후를 구할 수 있을까요? Can the hockey stick save the climate?

Det her er ikke bare en hockeystav. this|here|is|not|just|a|hockey stick This is not just a hockey stick.

Det er regeringens strategi for at reducere CO2-udledningen 70 % i 2030. it|is|the government's|strategy|for|to|reduce|||in It is the government's strategy to reduce CO2 emissions by 70% by 2030.

- Hockeystav. - Hockeystav. hockey stick| - Hockey stick. - Hockey stick.

- Ikke alle er begejstrede. - Vi er møgsure. not|all|are|enthusiastic|we|are|really annoyed - Not everyone is enthusiastic. - We are really annoyed.

- Kritikere frygter, det ikke holder. - Jeg er bekymret. critics|fear|that|not|holds|I|am|worried - Critics fear it won't hold. - I am worried.

- Regeringen er uambitiøs. - Men kan hockeystaven redde klimaet? the government|is|unambitious|but|can|the hockey stick|save|the climate - The government is unambitious. - But can the hockey stick save the climate?

I 1998 udgav Michael Mann den her omdiskuterede graf. in|published|Michael|Mann|the|this|controversial|graph In 1998, Michael Mann published this controversial graph.

Den viser udviklingen i det nordeuropæiske klima i 1000 år. it|shows|development|in|the|northern European|climate|in|years It shows the development of the Northern European climate over 1000 years.

Temperaturen stiger efter år 1900, så grafen blev kaldt hockeystaven. temperature|rises|after|year|so|the graph|was|called|the hockey stick The temperature rises after the year 1900, so the graph was called the hockey stick.

Så staven, som før var beviset på global opvarmning so|the stick|which|before|was|the proof|of|global|warming So the stick, which was previously evidence of global warming

- vil regeringen redde klimaet med. will|the government|save|the climate|with - will the government save the climate with.

- Danmark skal være en grøn stormagt. - Klimaambitionerne har været høje. Denmark|shall|be|a|green|superpower|climate ambitions|have|been|high - Denmark should be a green superpower. - The climate ambitions have been high.

Sidste år blev et flertal enige om en juridisk bindende klimalov. last|year|became|a|majority|agreed|on|a|legal|binding|climate law Last year, a majority agreed on a legally binding climate law.

Jeg er utrolig glad og stolt over, at det er lykkedes at lave en klimalov. I|am|incredibly|happy|and|proud|about|that|it|is|succeeded|to|make|a|climate law I am incredibly happy and proud that we have succeeded in creating a climate law.

Politikerne forpligter sig til - politicians|commit|themselves|to The politicians commit to -

- at reducere CO2-udledningen 70 % i 2030 i forhold til niveauet i 1990. to|reduce|||in|in|relation|to|level|in - to reduce CO2 emissions by 70% by 2030 compared to the levels in 1990.

Jeg kender ikke andre i verden med så ambitiøst et mål. I|know|not|others|in|world|with|such|ambitious|a|goal I don't know anyone else in the world with such an ambitious goal.

Den gode nyhed er, at forskere mener, det er realistisk at nå målet. the|good|news|is|that|researchers|believe|it|is|realistic|to|reach|goal The good news is that researchers believe it is realistic to achieve the goal.

Regeringen har truffet beslutninger, som kan reducere udledningen. the government|has|made|decisions|that|can|reduce|emissions The government has made decisions that can reduce emissions.

Men der er stadig lang vej endnu til en reduktion på 70 % i 2030. but|there|is|still|long|way|yet|to|a|reduction|of|in But there is still a long way to go for a 70% reduction by 2030.

Her knækker optimismen for kritikerne. here|breaks|the optimism|for|the critics This is where the optimism breaks for the critics.

Regeringens program lægger op til endnu ikke færdigudviklet teknologi - the government's|program|lays|up|to|still|not|fully developed|technology The government's program relies on technology that is not yet fully developed -

- der skal få os det sidste stykke. Reduktionen sker først tæt på 2030. that|shall|get|us|the|last|piece|the reduction|happens|first|close|to - which is supposed to get us the last stretch. The reduction will only happen close to 2030.

Derfor ligner kurven en hockeystav. therefore|looks like|the curve|a|hockey stick Therefore, the curve resembles a hockey stick.

Regeringen sætter sin lid til geologisk CO2-lagring - the government|sets|its|trust|to|geological|| The government relies on geological CO2 storage -

- hvor man indfanger og lagrer CO2 og til power to x. where|one|captures|and|stores|CO2|and|to|power|to|x - where CO2 is captured and stored and on power to x.

Det lød som det rene Star Wars. I dag er det ikke Star Wars. it|sounded|like|it|pure|Star|Wars|I|today|is|it|not|Star|Wars It sounded like pure Star Wars. Today, it is not Star Wars.

Det går ud på, at elektrolyseceller med sol- og vind-energi - it|goes|out|on|that|electrolysis cells|with||and|| It is about electrolytic cells using solar and wind energy -

- spalter vand til brint og ilt. splits|water|into|hydrogen|and|oxygen - splitting water into hydrogen and oxygen.

CO2 kan bruges til at omdanne brinten til kemikalier og brændstoffer. CO2|can|be used|to|to|convert|the hydrogen|into|chemicals|and|fuels CO2 can be used to convert hydrogen into chemicals and fuels.

De kaldes electrofuels. they|are called|electrofuels They are called electrofuels.

Power to x gør det muligt at lagre grøn overskudsstrøm - power|to|x|makes|it|possible|to|store|green|surplus electricity Power to x makes it possible to store green surplus electricity -

- og fremstille brændstof til større transportmidler uden CO2-udledning. and|produce|fuel|for|larger|vehicles|without|| - and produce fuel for larger means of transport without CO2 emissions.

Det lyder vildt, men ifølge eksperter overvurderer regeringen - it|sounds|wild|but|according to|experts|overestimates|the government It sounds wild, but according to experts, the government overestimates -

- potentialet i lagring og power to x. potential|in|storage|and|power|to|x - the potential of storage and power to x.

Der er to risici. At vi ikke kommer i mål i 2030 - there|are|two|risks||||||| There are two risks. That we do not reach our goal by 2030 -

- og at vi i den mellemliggende periode udleder for meget CO2. and|that|we|in|the|intervening|period|emit|too|much|CO2 - and that we emit too much CO2 in the meantime.

Det her er formanden for Klimarådet, en uafhængig ekspertgruppe. this|here|is|the chairman|for|Climate Council|an|independent|expert group This is the chairman of the Climate Council, an independent expert group.

Det er svært at være et foregangsland, hvis der ikke sker noget før til sidst. it|is|difficult|to|be|a|frontrunner|if|there|not|happens|anything|before|to|finally It is difficult to be a leading country if nothing happens until the end.

Ifølge Klimarådet kan vi nå en reduktion på 60 % med eksisterende teknologi - according to|the Climate Council|can|we|reach|a|reduction|of|with|existing|technology According to the Climate Council, we can achieve a reduction of 60% with existing technology -

- som fx elbiler og varmepumper, mens 10 % skal findes med ny teknologi. such as|for example|electric cars|and|heat pumps|while|must|be found|with|new|technology - such as electric cars and heat pumps, while 10% must be found with new technology.

De lægger op til en gradvis, lineær reduktionskurve. they|lay|up|to|a|gradual|linear|reduction curve They propose a gradual, linear reduction curve.

Det gør regeringen ikke, og det bekymrer støttepartierne. that|does|the government|not|and|that|worries|the supporting parties The government does not do this, and it concerns the supporting parties.

Der har været mange, der har villet vente på billigere reduktioner. there|have|been|many|who|have|wanted|to wait|for|cheaper|reductions There have been many who wanted to wait for cheaper reductions.

Det har man sagt i hele min levetid. that|have|one|said|in|all|my|lifetime That has been said my whole life.

Hvorfor insisterer regeringen på hockeystaven? why|insists|the government|on|the hockey stick Why does the government insist on the hockey stick?

Det korte svar er økonomi. Det vil blive alt for dyrt - that|short|answer|is|economy|that|will|become|all|too|expensive The short answer is economics. It will become far too expensive -

- kun at satse på kendt teknologi. just|to|bet|on|known|technology - only to bet on known technology.

Samfundet bliver mere ulige. Vi bliver fattigere. society|becomes|more|unequal|we|become|poorer Society is becoming more unequal. We are becoming poorer.

Klimarådets beregninger viser, at en lineær strategi ikke er dyrere. the Climate Council's|calculations|show|that|a|linear|strategy|not|is|more expensive The Climate Council's calculations show that a linear strategy is not more expensive.

Kan jeres hockeystav redde klimaet? can|your|hockey stick|save|the climate Can your hockey stick save the climate?

Vi har en målsætning, som er mere ambitiøs, end vi har virkemidler til. we|have|a|goal|that|is|more|ambitious|than|we|have|means|to We have a goal that is more ambitious than the resources we have.

Vi er nødt til - we|are|need|to We need to -

- at opskalere, effektivisere og udvikle teknologi for at nå i mål. to|scale up|streamline|and|develop|technology|to|to|reach|in|goal - scale up, streamline, and develop technology to achieve our goals.

Men ifølge eksperter gør I ikke nok. I bruger ikke nuværende teknologi - but|according to|experts|do|you|not|enough|you|use|not|current|technology But according to experts, you are not doing enough. You are not using current technology -

- som kan nå en reduktion på 60 %. that|can|reach|a|reduction|of - that can achieve a reduction of 60%.

De er ikke sat i søen, fordi man satser på ny teknologi. They|are|not|set|in|motion|because|one|bets|on|new|technology They have not been launched because there is a focus on new technology.

Det handler om at finde en balance. Vi gør meget, også nu og her. It|is about|to|to|find|a|balance|We|do|much|also|now|and|here It's about finding a balance. We are doing a lot, even now and here.

Det er ikke er nok. Vi vil gøre mere på den korte bane. It|is|not|enough||We|will|do|more|in|the|short|term It is not enough. We want to do more in the short term.

Regeringen skal forhandle om tiltag for landbrug, transport og skat - the government|shall|negotiate|about|measures|for|agriculture|transport|and|tax The government needs to negotiate measures for agriculture, transport, and taxes -

- så det er svært at sige, hvordan staven ser ud i fremtiden - so|it|is|difficult|to|say|how|the staff|looks|out|in|future - so it is difficult to say what the situation will look like in the future -

- og om det er nok til at nå en reduktion på 70 % i 2030. and|if|it|is|enough|to|to|reach|a|reduction|of|in - and whether it is enough to achieve a 70% reduction by 2030.